Yankees at White Sox
Last play · Cody Bellinger called out on strikes.
Win probability
White Sox100%
NYY 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 1 CWS
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lenyn Sosa homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +29% White Sox
8Lenyn Sosa homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Colson Montgomery homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
3Cody Bellinger doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Aaron Judge scores.2–1
2Will Robertson doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder José Caballero. Curtis Mead scores.1–1
1Aaron Judge homers (43) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
