Tigers at Royals
Last play · Adam Frazier called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals0%
DET 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 0 KC
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Rogers triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Spencer Torkelson scores. Zach McKinstry scores. (inning 5) — -28% Tigers
8Andy Ibáñez lines out sharply to left fielder Nick Loftin.5–0
5Gleyber Torres singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Colt Keith scores.4–0
5Colt Keith doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Jake Rogers scores.3–0
5Jake Rogers triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Spencer Torkelson scores. Zach McKinstry scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
