Cubs at Rockies
Last play · Mickey Moniak triples (8) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Ryan Ritter scores.
Win probability
Rockies100%
CHC 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 4 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-265 / +215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 8) — -42% Cubs
9Mickey Moniak triples (8) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Ryan Ritter scores.5–6
8Ian Happ homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores. Kyle Tucker scores.5–5
7Brenton Doyle out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Orlando Arcia scores.2–5
4Orlando Arcia singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Braxton Fulford scores.2–4
4Braxton Fulford triples (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Kyle Farmer scores.2–3
3Brenton Doyle singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Tyler Freeman scores. Ezequiel Tovar out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong to third baseman Matt Shaw.2–2
3Tyler Freeman singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Michael Busch. Braxton Fulford scores. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.2–1
3Seiya Suzuki doubles (29) on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Matt Shaw scores. Michael Busch scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
