Angels at Astros
Last play · Carlos Correa flies out to left fielder Luis Rengifo.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 0 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oswald Peraza homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -16% Angels
8Luis Rengifo singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. Mike Trout scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Lance McCullers Jr.3–0
8Mike Trout doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jacob Melton. Yoán Moncada scores.2–0
5Oswald Peraza homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
