D-backs at Dodgers
Last play · Will Smith homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
AZ 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte scores. (inning 8) — -42% D-backs
9Will Smith homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
8Corbin Carroll homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte scores.4–4
5Andy Pages singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Mookie Betts scores.1–4
4Miguel Rojas singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Alex Call scores. Alex Freeland to 3rd.1–3
4Adrian Del Castillo singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Ketel Marte scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.1–2
1Andy Pages grounds out softly, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Tyler Locklear. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.0–2
1Freddie Freeman doubles (36) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
