Last play · Colton Cowser lines out to second baseman Christian Koss.
Win probability
Giants100%
BAL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BAL 0 – 7 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Drew Gilbert scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. (inning 3) — +12% Giants
9Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Jackson Holliday scores.2–13
9Jackson Holliday doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Daniel Johnson scores.1–13
8Drew Gilbert doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Casey Schmitt scores. Christian Koss to 3rd.0–13
8Luis Matos out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daniel Johnson. Dominic Smith scores.0–12
8Casey Schmitt doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Daniel Johnson. Willy Adames scores. Dominic Smith to 3rd.0–11
6Patrick Bailey walks. Dominic Smith scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd. Luis Matos to 2nd.0–10
6Luis Matos reaches on a fielder's choice. Rafael Devers scores. Dominic Smith to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Luis Vázquez.0–9
6Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.0–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
BAL2–
SF13