White Sox at Twins
Last play · Luke Keaschall strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
CWS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 2 MIN
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Tauchman doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brooks Baldwin scores. (inning 8) — -26% White Sox
8Mike Tauchman doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brooks Baldwin scores.6–5
8Brooks Baldwin doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Bryan Ramos scores.5–5
7Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Austin Martin scores.4–5
6Byron Buxton out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. scores.4–4
6Royce Lewis homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
5Mike Tauchman singles on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brooks Baldwin scores. Mike Tauchman to 2nd.4–2
4Ryan Jeffers walks.3–2
2Byron Buxton walks. Royce Lewis scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd. James Outman to 2nd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
