Mets at Tigers
Last play · Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
NYM 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 6 – 6 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto hits a grand slam (36) to right center field. Jeff McNeil scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Luis Torrens scores. (inning 4) — -47% Mets
8Wenceel Pérez grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso. Jahmai Jones scores.10–8
7Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Riley Greene scores.10–7
7Brett Baty grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Luisangel Acuña scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.10–6
6Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wenceel Pérez, deflected by third baseman Andy Ibáñez. Juan Soto scores.9–6
6Juan Soto triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Luis Torrens scores. Francisco Lindor scores.8–6
5Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Juan Soto.6–6
4Jahmai Jones singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Zach McKinstry scores.6–5
4Zach McKinstry triples (11) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Dillon Dingler scores.6–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
