Athletics at Cardinals
Last play · Garrett Hampson pops out to first baseman Tyler Soderstrom.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
ATH 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 1 STL
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Bleday homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Darell Hernaiz scores. (inning 4) — -26% Athletics
9José Fermín singles on a line drive to left fielder Colby Thomas. Thomas Saggese scores.11–3
8Tyler Soderstrom doubles (28) on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Lawrence Butler scores. Jacob Wilson scores.11–2
8Lawrence Butler singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Zack Gelof scores.9–2
8Willie MacIver grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. JJ Bleday scores.8–2
7Tyler Soderstrom singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Jacob Wilson scores. Brent Rooker to 3rd.7–2
7Brent Rooker hits a ground-rule double (35) on a fly ball to right field. Lawrence Butler scores. Jacob Wilson to 3rd.6–2
6Masyn Winn singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nolan Gorman to 2nd.5–2
6JJ Bleday homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
