Giants at Rockies
Last play · Tyler Freeman pops out to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Rockies0%
SF 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 6 – 0 COL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Gilbert homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores. (inning 3) — -21% Giants
7Willy Adames homers (26) on a fly ball to left field. Drew Gilbert scores.8–2
6Yanquiel Fernández doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Ezequiel Tovar scores.6–2
6Kyle Karros grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Dominic Smith. Brenton Doyle scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.6–1
5Dominic Smith singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Drew Gilbert scores. Rafael Devers scores. Dominic Smith out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Jordan Beck to second baseman Tyler Freeman. Willy Adames to 3rd.6–0
5Willy Adames walks. Christian Koss scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd. Rafael Devers to 2nd.4–0
3Drew Gilbert homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores.3–0
1Rafael Devers homers (29) on a line drive to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
