Last play · Colt Keith flies out to left fielder Brandon Nimmo.
Win probability
Tigers0%
NYM 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
NYM 6 – 2 DET
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-130 / +110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Torrens homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Mark Vientos scores. Jeff McNeil scores. (inning 4) — -29% Mets
9Zach McKinstry singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Wenceel Pérez scores.12–5
9Wenceel Pérez hits a ground-rule double (13) on a line drive to right field. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores.12–4
9Justyn-Henry Malloy doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jahmai Jones scores.12–3
7Francisco Lindor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Luis Torrens scores.12–2
7Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Cedric Mullins scores. Luis Torrens to 3rd.11–2
7Jeff McNeil singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Brandon Nimmo scores. Luisangel Acuña scores.10–2
7Pete Alonso homers (33) on a fly ball to left center field.8–2
7Juan Soto homers (37) on a fly ball to right center field.7–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
NYM12–
DET5