Angels at Royals
Last play · Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals0%
LAA 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 1 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (32) on a fly ball to left center field. Luis Rengifo scores. (inning 6) — -31% Angels
9Bryce Teodosio out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Chris Taylor scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd.5–1
7Zach Neto flies out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.4–1
7Oswald Peraza doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Chris Taylor scores.3–1
6Jo Adell homers (32) on a fly ball to left center field. Luis Rengifo scores.2–1
3Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Matthew Lugo. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
