Giants at Rockies
Last play · Tyler Freeman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
SF 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 5 – 2 COL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Freeman scores. (inning 7) — +26% Rockies
8Patrick Bailey homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jung Hoo Lee scores.7–4
7Hunter Goodman homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Freeman scores.5–4
5Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Ryan Ritter scores. Mickey Moniak to 2nd.5–2
5Wilmer Flores homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Dominic Smith scores.5–1
5Casey Schmitt homers (10) on a line drive to left center field.3–1
3Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Tyler Freeman scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.2–1
1Rafael Devers homers (30) on a fly ball to right field. Heliot Ramos scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
