Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Eric Wagaman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 5 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Norby singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 4) — -19% Marlins
4James Wood homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Jacob Young scores.2–5
4Connor Norby singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez scores.2–3
3Daylen Lile singles on a fly ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. CJ Abrams scores.0–3
2Jacob Young singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Riley Adams scores. Paul DeJong to 2nd.0–2
2Riley Adams doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Daylen Lile scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
