Orioles at Padres

Scoreboard

BAL6–SD2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Petco Park · BAL 63-76 · SD 76-63

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	1	0	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	6	10	0
SD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1

Last play · Ryan O'Hearn flies out to right fielder Dylan Beavers.

Win probability

Padres0%

BAL 100%SD 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 5 – 2 SD

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

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Total runs

8.5

opened 6.5 ↑

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+155 / -190

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Padres favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Luis Arraez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 3) — +23% Padres

Scoring plays

BAL–SD · 5 total

8Jeremiah Jackson grounds out, shortstop Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Dylan Beavers scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd.6–2

5Emmanuel Rivera singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd.5–2

3Luis Arraez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Freddy Fermin scores.3–2

3Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Colton Cowser scores. Emmanuel Rivera out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ramón Laureano to third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Luis Arraez to second baseman Jake Cronenworth.3–0

1Jeremiah Jackson homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.