Dodgers at Pirates
Last play · Shohei Ohtani strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
LAD 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Pirates favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +15% Pirates
6Joey Bart doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Nick Gonzales scores.0–3
2Andrew McCutchen homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Bryan Reynolds homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
