Guardians at Red Sox
Last play · Ali Sánchez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
CLE 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 7 – 1 BOS
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Bo Naylor scores. (inning 2) — -18% Guardians
8CJ Kayfus out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Bo Naylor scores.8–1
4Nick Sogard singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Rob Refsnyder scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.7–1
2Red Sox challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Jarren Duran to second baseman Nick Sogard.7–0
2José Ramírez reaches on an interference error by catcher Connor Wong. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.5–0
2Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. CJ Kayfus scores. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.4–0
2Gabriel Arias homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Bo Naylor scores.3–0
1José Ramírez grounds out, second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Steven Kwan scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
