Athletics at Cardinals
Last play · Shea Langeliers grounds out, second baseman Thomas Saggese to first baseman Willson Contreras.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
ATH 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to right fielder Brent Rooker. Masyn Winn scores. Iván Herrera scores. Willson Contreras out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Brent Rooker to second baseman Zack Gelof to catcher Willie MacIver to shortstop Jacob Wilson. (inning 3) — +23% Cardinals
8Willson Contreras triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Masyn Winn scores. Lars Nootbaar scores.1–5
8Nick Kurtz homers (28) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
7Nolan Gorman homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
3Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to right fielder Brent Rooker. Masyn Winn scores. Iván Herrera scores. Willson Contreras out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Brent Rooker to second baseman Zack Gelof to catcher Willie MacIver to shortstop Jacob Wilson.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
