White Sox at Twins
Last play · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Lenyn Sosa.
Win probability
Twins0%
CWS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael A. Taylor doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Andrew Benintendi scores. Brooks Baldwin scores. (inning 9) — -71% White Sox
9Michael A. Taylor doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Andrew Benintendi scores. Brooks Baldwin scores.4–3
9Brooks Baldwin singles on a fly ball to right fielder James Outman. Korey Lee scores. Andrew Benintendi to 3rd.2–3
6Royce Lewis singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Ryan Jeffers scores.1–3
2Edgar Quero homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Matt Wallner singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brooks Baldwin. Luke Keaschall scores. Fielding error by right fielder Brooks Baldwin.0–2
1Luke Keaschall doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Trevor Larnach scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
