Rangers at D-backs
Last play · Dylan Moore grounds into a force out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Ketel Marte. Alejandro Osuna out at 2nd.
Win probability
D-backs100%
TEX 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake McCarthy reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Jake Burger. Alek Thomas scores. Tyler Locklear to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% D-backs
2Jake McCarthy reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Jake Burger. Alek Thomas scores. Tyler Locklear to 2nd.0–2
1Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to right fielder Alejandro Osuna. Corbin Carroll scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
