Angels at Royals
Last play · Adam Frazier strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Royals0%
LAA 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jo Adell homers (33) on a fly ball to center field. Zach Neto scores. Yoán Moncada scores. (inning 6) — -45% Angels
8Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Yoán Moncada scores.4–3
7Adam Frazier doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Tyler Tolbert scores.3–3
6Jo Adell homers (33) on a fly ball to center field. Zach Neto scores. Yoán Moncada scores.3–2
3Mike Yastrzemski out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Jac Caglianone scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.0–2
3Kyle Isbel hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by first baseman Oswald Peraza. Michael Massey scores. Jac Caglianone to 3rd. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
