Dodgers at Pirates
Last play · Ben Rortvedt strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
LAD 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Pirates favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 3) — +11% Pirates
9Miguel Rojas singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Michael Conforto scores. Andy Pages to 2nd.3–5
9Andy Pages singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jared Triolo. Teoscar Hernández scores. Michael Conforto to 2nd.2–5
9Mookie Betts homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
5Alexander Canario grounds out to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Andrew McCutchen scores. Nick Yorke to 3rd.0–5
5Nick Yorke doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Nick Gonzales scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.0–4
5Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Jared Triolo scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.0–2
3Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
