Mariners at Braves
Last play · Cole Young lines out to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
SEA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jurickson Profar scores. (inning 8) — +29% Braves
8Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Ozzie Albies scores.1–4
8Ozzie Albies triples (2) on a fly ball to second baseman Jorge Polanco. Matt Olson scores.1–3
8Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jurickson Profar scores.1–2
7Leo Rivas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jorge Polanco scores. Dominic Canzone to 3rd.1–1
1Ha-Seong Kim out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
