Phillies at Brewers
Last play · Sal Frelick strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Brewers0%
PHI 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 0 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Alec Bohm scores. (inning 7) — -19% Phillies
9Bryson Stott doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Isaac Collins. Harrison Bader scores.2–0
7Trea Turner singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Alec Bohm scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
