Blue Jays at Yankees
Last play · Giancarlo Stanton grounds into a double play, shortstop Bo Bichette to second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Aaron Judge out at 2nd. Giancarlo Stanton out at 1st.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TOR 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 1 NYY
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Bo Bichette scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd. (inning 1) — -16% Blue Jays
9Daulton Varsho doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.7–1
8Ernie Clement doubles (27) on a fly ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Alejandro Kirk scores. Ernie Clement out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Cody Bellinger to third baseman Ryan McMahon.6–1
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.5–1
2Giancarlo Stanton homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
2Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. George Springer scores. Addison Barger to 3rd.4–0
1Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Bo Bichette scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.3–0
1Bo Bichette doubles (43) on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
