Guardians at Rays
Last play · Everson Pereira grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Rays0%
CLE 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 0 TB
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Gabriel Arias scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Austin Hedges to 3rd. (inning 2) — -24% Guardians
6Junior Caminero homers (41) on a fly ball to left field.7–1
6George Valera singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Steven Kwan scores.7–0
6Austin Hedges homers (5) on a line drive to left field.6–0
2David Fry singles on a line drive to left fielder Richie Palacios. José Ramírez scores.5–0
2José Ramírez doubles (26) on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Austin Hedges scores. Steven Kwan scores.4–0
2Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Gabriel Arias scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Austin Hedges to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
