Giants at Cardinals
Last play · Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
SF 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 6 – 1 STL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (31) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — -12% Giants
8Iván Herrera homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.8–2
7Casey Schmitt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jung Hoo Lee scores.8–1
7Jung Hoo Lee triples (11) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Matt Chapman scores.7–1
5Victor Scott II singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jimmy Crooks scores.6–1
4Willy Adames grounds into a force out, third baseman Thomas Saggese to second baseman José Fermín. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers out at 2nd. Willy Adames to 1st.6–0
4Rafael Devers singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd.5–0
4Patrick Bailey singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Casey Schmitt scores.4–0
4Drew Gilbert out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
