Dodgers at Orioles
Last play · Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Dean. Gunnar Henderson scores. Jorge Mateo scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd.
Win probability
Orioles100%
LAD 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 0 BAL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Orioles favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Dean. Gunnar Henderson scores. Jorge Mateo scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd. (inning 9) — +55% Orioles
9Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Dean. Gunnar Henderson scores. Jorge Mateo scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd.3–4
9Colton Cowser walks. Daniel Johnson scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd. Jorge Mateo to 2nd.3–2
9Jackson Holliday homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
7Mookie Betts triples (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Ben Rortvedt scores.3–0
5Mookie Betts singles on a sharp line drive to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Miguel Rojas scores. Enrique Hernández to 3rd.2–0
3Shohei Ohtani grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Coby Mayo. Miguel Rojas scores. Enrique Hernández to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
