Padres at Rockies
Last play · Manny Machado grounds into a double play, third baseman Kyle Karros to first baseman Warming Bernabel. Luis Arraez out at 3rd. Manny Machado out at 1st.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 2 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — +11% Rockies
7Hunter Goodman doubles (25) on a fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Mickey Moniak scores.0–3
5Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jose Iglesias. Mickey Moniak scores. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.0–2
3Hunter Goodman homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
