Guardians at Rays
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Rays0%
CLE 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 TB
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to shortstop Carson Williams. Daniel Schneemann scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. (inning 9) — -34% Guardians
9Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to shortstop Carson Williams. Daniel Schneemann scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.3–2
6Yandy Díaz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Daniel Schneemann. Tristan Gray scores.2–2
5Josh Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
4Daniel Schneemann doubles (17) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo scores. Nolan Jones to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
