Giants at Cardinals
Last play · Jordan Walker doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Luis Matos, deflected by third baseman Matt Chapman. Masyn Winn scores. Garrett Hampson scores. Thomas Saggese to 3rd.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
SF 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 0 STL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Walker doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Luis Matos, deflected by third baseman Matt Chapman. Masyn Winn scores. Garrett Hampson scores. Thomas Saggese to 3rd. (inning 9) — +55% Cardinals
9Jordan Walker doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Luis Matos, deflected by third baseman Matt Chapman. Masyn Winn scores. Garrett Hampson scores. Thomas Saggese to 3rd.2–3
9Thomas Saggese singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Nolan Gorman scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. Garrett Hampson to 2nd.2–1
4Drew Gilbert doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Matt Chapman scores.2–0
4Casey Schmitt out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Dominic Smith scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
