Dodgers at Orioles
Last play · Luis Vázquez grounds out, third baseman Miguel Rojas to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
Win probability
Orioles0%
LAD 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 4 – 0 BAL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Orioles favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (48) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — -16% Dodgers
9Mookie Betts singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Ben Rortvedt scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.5–2
6Alex Jackson doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Enrique Hernández. Emmanuel Rivera scores.4–2
6Emmanuel Rivera doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Enrique Hernández. Gunnar Henderson scores.4–1
4Ben Rortvedt grounds out softly, second baseman Luis Vázquez to first baseman Coby Mayo. Hyeseong Kim to 3rd.4–0
3Mookie Betts homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
3Shohei Ohtani homers (48) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Shohei Ohtani homers (47) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
