Guardians at Rays
Last play · Hunter Feduccia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
CLE 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carson Williams homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +22% Rays
6Gabriel Arias singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.2–1
6José Ramírez triples (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Angel Martínez scores.1–1
5Carson Williams homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
