Nationals at Cubs
Last play · Seiya Suzuki grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Luis García Jr. Ian Happ out at 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs0%
WSH 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cubs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood scores. (inning 9) — -78% Nationals
9Brady House flies into a sacrifice double play, center fielder Kevin Alcántara to first baseman Carlos Santana to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Daylen Lile scores. Luis García Jr. out at 2nd.6–3
9Josh Bell homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood scores.5–3
9Robert Hassell III homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
8Carson Kelly homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
5Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Nico Hoerner scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.1–2
5Brady House out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Daylen Lile scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd.1–1
2Carson Kelly homers (15) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
