Twins at Angels
Last play · Scott Kingery strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
MIN 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 5 – 3 LAA
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Royce Lewis homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores. (inning 5) — -28% Twins
9Luke Keaschall singles on a fly ball to right fielder Matthew Lugo. Matt Wallner scores.12–3
9Matt Wallner doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Matthew Lugo. Mickey Gasper scores. James Outman scores.11–3
8Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward, deflected by third baseman Yoán Moncada. Luke Keaschall scores.9–3
8Trevor Larnach out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.8–3
6Royce Lewis reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Yoán Moncada. Austin Martin scores. Matt Wallner to 2nd.7–3
6James Outman homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.6–3
5Royce Lewis homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores.5–3
3Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Austin Martin scores. Matt Wallner to 2nd.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
