Red Sox at Athletics
Last play · Nick Kurtz grounds out, second baseman Romy Gonzalez to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Athletics0%
BOS 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 0 ATH
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — -12% Red Sox
8Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to center fielder Colby Thomas. Trevor Story scores. Romy Gonzalez to 2nd.7–0
8Romy Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.6–0
5Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colby Thomas. Jarren Duran scores.5–0
5Carlos Narváez homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.4–0
2Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Nick Sogard out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Tyler Soderstrom to third baseman Max Schuemann.3–0
2Nick Sogard singles on a line drive to center fielder Colby Thomas. Masataka Yoshida scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd.2–0
1Trevor Story homers (24) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
