Last play · Heriberto Hernández grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Josh Bell.
Win probability
Marlins0%
WSH 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
WSH 8 – 2 MIA
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — -20% Nationals
9Jakob Marsee homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.15–7
9Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr., deflected by second baseman Xavier Edwards. Robert Hassell III scores. James Wood to 3rd.15–6
9James Wood singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Dylan Crews scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd.14–6
8Victor Mesa Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Heriberto Hernández scores. Maximo Acosta scores.13–6
8Maximo Acosta singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Liam Hicks scores. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.13–3
7Josh Bell homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. CJ Abrams scores.13–2
6Paul DeJong singles on a ground ball to pitcher Josh Simpson. Daylen Lile scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.11–2
6Josh Bell homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. James Wood scores.10–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
WSH15–
MIA7