Brewers at Rangers
Last play · Christian Yelich grounds out, pitcher Chris Martin to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Rangers100%
MIL 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Helman hits a grand slam (4) to left field. Dylan Moore scores. Kyle Higashioka scores. Jonah Heim scores. (inning 5) — +35% Rangers
7Michael Helman doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Jonah Heim scores.0–5
5Michael Helman hits a grand slam (4) to left field. Dylan Moore scores. Kyle Higashioka scores. Jonah Heim scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
