Tigers at Yankees
Last play · Ben Rice flies out sharply to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Yankees0%
DET 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 2 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Parker Meadows homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Torkelson scores. (inning 5) — -25% Tigers
8Riley Greene singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Andy Ibáñez scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd.12–2
7Wenceel Pérez grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Kerry Carpenter scores. Spencer Torkelson out at 2nd. Wenceel Pérez to 1st.11–2
7Kerry Carpenter triples (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Colt Keith scores. Gleyber Torres scores.10–2
7Gleyber Torres walks. Dillon Dingler scores. Trey Sweeney to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.7–2
7Colt Keith hit by pitch. Parker Meadows scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Trey Sweeney to 2nd.6–2
7Trey Sweeney singles on a fly ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Wenceel Pérez scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd. Dillon Dingler to 2nd.5–2
7Dillon Dingler walks. Spencer Torkelson scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd. Parker Meadows to 2nd.4–2
7Parker Meadows singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Wenceel Pérez to 2nd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
