Red Sox at Athletics
Last play · Brent Rooker grounds out softly, pitcher Chris Murphy to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Athletics0%
BOS 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 0 ATH
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story scores. (inning 1) — -26% Red Sox
8Masataka Yoshida grounds out, shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Jarren Duran scores.6–0
2Romy Gonzalez doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Colby Thomas. Nick Sogard scores.5–0
1Rob Refsnyder homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story scores.4–0
1Romy Gonzalez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
