Brewers at Rangers
Last play · Christian Yelich lines out sharply to center fielder Michael Helman.
Win probability
Rangers100%
MIL 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 5 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Helman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonah Heim scores. (inning 5) — +29% Rangers
9Jake Bauers homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.4–5
5Kyle Higashioka doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Wyatt Langford scores.3–5
5Wyatt Langford triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Josh Smith scores.3–4
5Michael Helman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonah Heim scores.3–3
5William Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Helman. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich scores.3–1
5Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to pitcher Jack Leiter. Joey Ortiz scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.1–1
2Cody Freeman singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Josh Jung scores. Alejandro Osuna out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Sal Frelick to third baseman Caleb Durbin. Cody Freeman to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
