Cardinals at Mariners

Scoreboard

STL3–SEA5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

T-Mobile Park · STL 72-74 · SEA 77-68

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	1
SEA	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	·	5	9	0

Last play · Lars Nootbaar grounds out, second baseman Jorge Polanco to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Win probability

Mariners100%

STL 0%SEA 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 3 – 5 SEA

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+180 / -215

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mariners favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Victor Robles scores. J.P. Crawford scores. (inning 3) — +35% Mariners

Scoring plays

STL–SEA · 6 total

4Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Mitch Garver scores. Victor Robles to 3rd.3–5

4Josh Naylor homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4

4Cardinals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: José Fermín singles on a ground ball to third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Thomas Saggese scores. Pedro Pagés to 2nd.3–3

3Randy Arozarena homers (27) on a fly ball to left field. Victor Robles scores. J.P. Crawford scores.2–3

2Thomas Saggese singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Gorman scores.2–0

2Nolan Gorman doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Willson Contreras scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.