Twins at Angels
Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, third baseman Oswald Peraza to first baseman Logan Davidson.
Win probability
Angels100%
MIN 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 5 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Rengifo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Mike Trout scores. Yoán Moncada scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
9Ryan Fitzgerald homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Martin scores.2–12
7Yoán Moncada homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Sebastián Rivero scores. Bryce Teodosio scores.0–12
6Chris Taylor homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Mike Trout scores. Taylor Ward scores.0–9
6Taylor Ward singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Bryce Teodosio scores. Mike Trout to 2nd.0–6
5Luis Rengifo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Yoán Moncada scores. Chris Taylor to 2nd.0–5
5Chris Taylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Mike Trout scores. Yoán Moncada to 2nd.0–4
1Oswald Peraza called out on strikes.0–3
1Luis Rengifo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Mike Trout scores. Yoán Moncada scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
