Rays at White Sox
Last play · Chase Meidroth lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
Win probability
White Sox0%
TB 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 2 CWS
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Junior Caminero scores. (inning 2) — -25% Rays
7Tristan Gray homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
6Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Colson Montgomery scores.4–4
6Colson Montgomery doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Lenyn Sosa scores.4–3
5Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Brooks Baldwin scores.4–2
4Richie Palacios homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
2Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to center fielder Brooks Baldwin. Tristan Gray scores. Hunter Feduccia to 2nd.3–1
2Josh Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Junior Caminero scores.2–1
1Kyle Teel homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
