Red Sox at Athletics
Last play · Lawrence Butler singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Shea Langeliers scores.
Win probability
Athletics100%
BOS 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 4 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. (inning 9) — -38% Red Sox
9Lawrence Butler singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Shea Langeliers scores.4–5
9Rob Refsnyder doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.4–4
5Tyler Soderstrom doubles (30) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jacob Wilson scores. Brent Rooker scores. Lawrence Butler out at home on the throw, left fielder Jarren Duran to shortstop Trevor Story to catcher Connor Wong.3–4
4Jarren Duran grounds out, second baseman Zack Gelof to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Nate Eaton scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.3–2
3Trevor Story doubles (27) on a fly ball to left fielder JJ Bleday. Alex Bregman scores.2–2
2Nick Kurtz homers (30) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Nate Eaton doubles (4) on a pop up to right fielder Brent Rooker, deflected by first baseman Nick Kurtz. Masataka Yoshida scores. Nick Sogard to 3rd.1–1
1Shea Langeliers homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
