D-backs at Giants
Last play · Luis Matos grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Tim Tawa.
Win probability
Giants0%
AZ 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 0 SF
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Geraldo Perdomo homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 1) — -10% D-backs
9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tim Tawa. Matt Chapman scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd.5–3
8Rafael Devers doubles (31) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos scores.5–2
6Jake McCarthy doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Tim Tawa scores.5–0
2Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luis Matos. Tim Tawa scores.4–0
2Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Luis Matos. Alek Thomas scores. Tim Tawa to 3rd.3–0
2Tim Tawa singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Blaze Alexander scores. Alek Thomas to 2nd.2–0
1Geraldo Perdomo homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
