Tigers at Yankees
Last play · Kerry Carpenter grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
DET 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 9 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. (inning 2) — +10% Yankees
9Gleyber Torres grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Javier Báez scores.3–9
7Dillon Dingler homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–9
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Austin Slater scores. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.1–9
4Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. José Caballero scores. Austin Slater to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.1–7
4Austin Slater singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ben Rice scores. José Caballero to 3rd.1–6
3Giancarlo Stanton homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
3Aaron Judge homers (46) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
2José Caballero singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Ben Rice scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
