Rays at White Sox
Last play · Carson Williams flies out to right fielder Brooks Baldwin.
Win probability
White Sox100%
TB 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Mangum. Chase Meidroth scores. Curtis Mead scores. (inning 1) — +17% White Sox
8Junior Caminero grounds out softly to pitcher Tyler Alexander. Chandler Simpson scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.1–5
6Kyle Teel singles on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Miguel Vargas scores. Michael A. Taylor scores. Brooks Baldwin to 2nd.0–5
6Michael A. Taylor singles on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jake Mangum, deflected by center fielder Chandler Simpson. Edgar Quero scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.0–3
1Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Mangum. Chase Meidroth scores. Curtis Mead scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
