Reds at Athletics
Last play · Miguel Andujar strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics100%
CIN 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 2 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Cortes homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — +18% Athletics
8Carlos Cortes homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
3Carlos Cortes homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1Lawrence Butler homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
