D-backs at Twins
Last play · Luke Keaschall out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Byron Buxton scores.
Win probability
Twins100%
AZ 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Connor Kaiser scores. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 9) — -78% D-backs
9Luke Keaschall out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Byron Buxton scores.8–9
9Trevor Larnach walks. Ryan Fitzgerald scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.8–8
9Kody Clemens homers (19) on a line drive to center field.8–7
9Gabriel Moreno homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Connor Kaiser scores. Corbin Carroll scores.8–6
9Corbin Carroll singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder James Outman. Tim Tawa scores. Connor Kaiser to 2nd.5–6
7Geraldo Perdomo homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Tim Tawa scores.4–6
6Kody Clemens doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Brooks Lee scores.2–6
5Luke Keaschall grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Tim Tawa. Austin Martin scores.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
